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Adam Holt

AI Shopping Agents Are About to Rewrite NZ Retail. Are You Ready to Be Invisible?

#AI agents#retail#ecommerce#strategy#New Zealand

You’ve spent a decade tuning your ecommerce machine – SEO, UX, loyalty programmes, conversion funnels.

Now an AI agent sits between you and your customer and doesn’t care about any of it.

That’s the next five years of New Zealand retail in one sentence.

This isn’t a thought experiment. AI shopping agents (ChatGPT, Perplexity, Google’s SGE, Amazon Rufus, emerging vertical agents) are already handling real purchasing decisions. The “buy” button is moving out of your website and into a conversational interface that decides what gets shown – and what never sees daylight.

If you sit on a retail board or executive team in New Zealand, this is now a strategy and survival issue, not a “digital project”.

The old game is over

The old ecommerce game:

  1. Customer has a need
  2. Searches Google
  3. Clicks 5–10 sites
  4. Compares, reads reviews, looks at your beautiful product page
  5. Eventually buys (maybe from you)

You optimised for:

  • SEO and ad spend
  • On-site UX
  • Merchandising and content
  • Retargeting and funnels

The new game:

  1. Customer tells an AI: “I need a coffee machine that makes espresso, is easy to clean and under $1,000”
  2. The agent reads hundreds of sites, reviews, Reddit threads, YouTube videos, your product data
  3. It shortlists 3 products, explains the trade-offs, finds best prices and shipping
  4. The customer approves, and the purchase often happens without ever seeing your site

In that world:

  • Your product page is an API endpoint, not a sales pitch
  • Your brand story becomes one sentence in the agent’s rationale
  • Your SEO ranking is irrelevant if the agent reads everything and re-ranks it on its own terms

You don’t win because you’re loud. You win because the agent is convinced you’re objectively the best option for that customer and that problem, right now.

Why this hits New Zealand harder than most

NZ retailers have lived with structural disadvantages for years. AI agents amplify some of them and neutralise others:

Threats

Distance advantage erodes. The agent compares landed price and delivery time across NZ and offshore. If Amazon AU or a global marketplace can get it here in 5–7 days at a much lower total, your “2–3 day local shipping” isn’t enough on its own.

Perfect price transparency. Every price, every promo, every shipping fee – visible and comparable in seconds. Margin built on information asymmetry disappears.

Small catalogue disadvantage. If the agent is evaluating 12 strong options in a category and you carry 2, you’re rarely in the top 3 recommendations.

“Support local” doesn’t exist by default. Unless the customer explicitly says “NZ only”, the agent is indifferent to geography. Your “buy local” brand positioning does not reach it.

Opportunities

Speed still wins urgent missions. For “I need it tomorrow”, perishables, last-minute gifts, race/event deadlines – local fulfilment can beat global. The agent will factor real delivery times if you expose them properly.

NZ-specific expertise. Climate, sizing, regulations, local brands, real-world use cases (Auckland winter vs Queenstown winter) – global retailers are weak here. That’s defensible.

Curated and specialist positions. A deeply knowledgeable running store for NZ trails, or an outdoor retailer optimised for South Island conditions, will outperform generic marketplaces for specific queries – if the agent can see that expertise.

Small market = faster feedback loops. You can test, learn and adjust assortment and pricing faster than a global giant if you wire AI into your buying and inventory decisions.

For C-suites: your website is now infrastructure, not “the shop”

Human traffic is no longer the main “consumer” of your ecommerce stack. AI agents are.

Your stack’s new jobs, in order of importance:

  1. Be machine-readable and complete
  2. Expose real trust signals
  3. Offer low-friction purchase paths

Your design system, brand voice and content marketing still matter – for the humans who do click through. But they are secondary to being legible and attractive to the agents that pre-filter everything.

Strategy is now about positioning to the agent, not just the customer

NZ retailers will naturally fall into one or two strategic archetypes. Your job at C-level is to pick intentionally and execute hard.

1. The Specialist

You win because you know the category better than anyone.

  • Deep, honest buying guides
  • Detailed fit and use-case content
  • Staff expertise surfaced as structured knowledge
  • Products tagged by real-world scenarios (“wet West Coast trails”, “Auckland commuters”, “Queenstown ski week”)

To the agent you are: “Best answer for specific, high-intent queries in this niche.”

2. The Fast Fulfiller

You win because you are the fastest, most reliable way to get the thing in NZ.

  • Real-time stock
  • Guaranteed delivery windows that are actually met
  • Clear options: same-day, next-day, weekend

To the agent you are: “Best answer when time is the constraint.”

3. The Curator

You win because of what you don’t stock.

  • Unique or NZ-exclusive products
  • Clear narratives on why each product made the cut
  • Strong visual and experiential content (that agents can still parse for facts)

To the agent you are: “Source of differentiated inventory customers can’t easily get elsewhere.”

4. The Price Fighter

You win because you’re ruthlessly efficient.

  • Transparent pricing
  • Aggressive price-matching in selected categories
  • Tight cost control supported by AI-optimised buying and markdowns

To the agent you are: “Best value option with acceptable risk.”

5. The Generalist

You’re the department store / marketplace.

  • Broad coverage of NZ needs
  • Strong operational backbone
  • Recognisable, trusted brand

To the agent you are: “Safe, one-stop answer for ‘where can I get X in NZ?’.”

Trying to be all five is the fastest way to mediocrity. Your capital allocation, technology roadmap and org design should reflect a deliberate choice.

Don’t forget the other half: AI on the buying side

Most exec conversations stop at “How do we show up in ChatGPT?” That’s only half the story.

Agents will not recommend:

  • Products you don’t have in stock
  • SKUs that are perpetually back-ordered
  • Ranges with messy pricing and heavy end-of-season discounting

On the back end, AI can – and should – be driving:

  • Demand forecasting at SKU level using sales history, seasonality, weather, macro data and search/social signals
  • Trend prediction (what’s emerging in global data that will hit NZ in 3–6 months)
  • Assortment and volume decisions (fewer, better SKUs with higher full-price sell-through)
  • Dynamic replenishment and markdowns that protect margin instead of panic-clearing stock

The economics are blunt:

  • Typical fashion / specialty retailers burn 30–40% of inventory value in markdowns and missed opportunities
  • Basic AI-driven buying can claw back double-digit percentages of gross margin with relatively modest investment

Front-end agent optimisation without back-end AI buying is lipstick on a pig. You’ll win recommendation… and then lose money on every sale.

A 90-day agenda for NZ retail boards and execs

You don’t need a five-year “AI transformation programme”. You need a dirty, pragmatic 90-day sprint to move from theory to traction.

In the next 30 days

  • Mandate an audit of product data for your top 50 SKUs
  • Get schema and structured data implemented on those products
  • Turn on automated post-purchase review capture, with a single accountable owner
  • Ask your team to test 10–20 realistic queries in ChatGPT/Perplexity and report where you are – and are not – being recommended

Days 31–60

  • Deep-optimise those top 50 SKUs: specs, use cases, imagery, reviews, delivery promises
  • Commission 5–10 serious educational pieces in your key categories (buying guides, NZ-specific use-case content, honest comparisons)
  • Start building a basic demand forecasting model on your top 20 SKUs (you almost certainly have enough data already)

Days 61–90

  • Decide, at board level, which archetype(s) you are playing
  • Align FY budgets and KPIs to that choice (data, engineering, content, buying)
  • Set explicit targets for AI agent visibility and recommendation rates

If your digital, merchandising and supply chain teams are not working off the same AI-driven picture of demand and recommendations by the end of that window, you’re behind.

Who’s already doing this well?

If you’re looking for partners who understand agentic commerce, Overdose Digital are leading the way in this space. They’re helping retailers prepare their ecommerce infrastructure for the agent-first future – from structured data and schema implementation to the technical foundations that make your products visible to AI shopping agents.

This isn’t about hiring an SEO agency. It’s about working with teams who understand that the rules have fundamentally changed.

The uncomfortable truth

You have a 12–18 month window where:

  • Most of your competitors are still optimising for Google, not agents
  • Most boards still treat AI as an “innovation topic” instead of a P&L lever
  • The work required is unglamorous but not technically extreme

After that, the compounding effects of data, reviews, agent preference and better buying will make the gap hard – and in some niches impossible – to close.

This is not a marketing tweak. It’s a strategy call.

Either you become one of the retailers the agents trust by default for New Zealand customers, or you slowly disappear from the consideration set.

And when you’re invisible to the AI, you’re invisible to the customer.


Adam Holt is co-founder of The Colab and founder of po2order. Get in touch if you want to discuss AI strategy for your retail business.